1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
60
61
62
63
64
65
66
67
68
69
70
71
72
73
74
75
76
77
78
79
80
81
82
83
84
85
86
87
88
89
90
91
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
100
101
102
103
104
105
106
107
108
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
120
121
122
123
124
125
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
146
147
148
149
150
151
152
153
154
155
156
157
158
159
160
161
162
163
164
165
166
167
168
169
170
171
172
173
174
175
176
177
178
179
180
181
182
183
184
185
186
187
188
189
190
191
192
193
194
195
196
197
198
199
200
201
202
203
204
205
206
207
208
209
210
211
212
213
214
215
216
217
218
219
220
221
222
223
224
225
226
227
228
229
230
231
232
233
234
235
236
237
238
239
240
241
242
243
244
245
246
247
248
249
250
251
252
253
254
255
256
257
258
259
260
261
262
263
264
265
266
267
268
269
270
271
272
273
274
275
276
277
278
279
280
281
282
283
284
285
286
287
288
289
290
291
292
293
294
295
296
297
298
299
300
301
302
303
304
305
306
307
308
309
310
311
312
313
314
315
316
317
318
319
320
321
322
323
324
325
326
327
328
329
330
331
332
333
334
335
336
337
338
339
340
341
342
343
344
345
346
347
348
349
350
351
352
353
354
355
356
357
358
359
360
361
362
363
364
365
366
367
368
369
370
371
372
373
374
375
376
377
378
379
380
381
382
383
384
385
386
387
388
389
390
391
392
393
394
395
396
397
398
399
400
401
402
403
404
405
406
407
408
409
410
411
412
413
414
415
416
417
418
419
420
421
422
423
424
425
426
427
428
429
430
431
432
433
434
435
436
437
438
439
440
441
442
443
444
445
446
447
448
449
450
451
452
453
454
455
456
457
458
459
460
461
462
463
464
465
466
467
468
469
470
471
472
473
474
475
476
477
478
479
480
481
482
483
484
485
486
487
488
489
490
491
492
493
494
495
496
497
498
499
500
501
502
503
504
505
506
507
508
509
510
511
512
513
514
515
516
517
518
519
520
521
522
523
524
525
526
527
528
529
530
531
532
533
534
535
536
537
538
539
540
541
542
543
544
545
|
%global _empty_manifest_terminate_build 0
Name: python-darts
Version: 0.23.1
Release: 1
Summary: A python library for easy manipulation and forecasting of time series.
License: Apache License 2.0
URL: https://unit8co.github.io/darts/
Source0: https://mirrors.nju.edu.cn/pypi/web/packages/08/91/a560e7756161f81f92155537518c6fb8c47e762eb153330073cd588d8bca/darts-0.23.1.tar.gz
BuildArch: noarch
Requires: python3-catboost
Requires: python3-holidays
Requires: python3-joblib
Requires: python3-lightgbm
Requires: python3-matplotlib
Requires: python3-nfoursid
Requires: python3-numpy
Requires: python3-pandas
Requires: python3-pmdarima
Requires: python3-prophet
Requires: python3-pyod
Requires: python3-requests
Requires: python3-scikit-learn
Requires: python3-scipy
Requires: python3-shap
Requires: python3-statsforecast
Requires: python3-statsmodels
Requires: python3-tbats
Requires: python3-tqdm
Requires: python3-xarray
Requires: python3-xgboost
Requires: python3-pytorch-lightning
Requires: python3-torch
%description
[](https://badge.fury.io/py/darts)
[](https://anaconda.org/conda-forge/u8darts-all)




[](https://pepy.tech/project/u8darts)
[](https://pepy.tech/project/darts)
[](https://codecov.io/gh/unit8co/darts)
[](https://github.com/psf/black) [](https://gitter.im/u8darts/darts?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=badge&utm_campaign=pr-badge&utm_content=badge)
**Darts** is a Python library for user-friendly forecasting and anomaly detection
on time series. It contains a variety of models, from classics such as ARIMA to
deep neural networks. The forecasting models can all be used in the same way,
using `fit()` and `predict()` functions, similar to scikit-learn.
The library also makes it easy to backtest models,
combine the predictions of several models, and take external data into account.
Darts supports both univariate and multivariate time series and models.
The ML-based models can be trained on potentially large datasets containing multiple time
series, and some of the models offer a rich support for probabilistic forecasting.
Darts also offers extensive anomaly detection capabilities.
For instance, it is trivial to apply PyOD models on time series to obtain anomaly scores,
or to wrap any of Darts forecasting or filtering models to obtain fully
fledged anomaly detection models.
## Documentation
* [Quickstart](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/quickstart/00-quickstart.html)
* [User Guide](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/userguide.html)
* [API Reference](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/generated_api/darts.html)
* [Examples](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/examples.html)
##### High Level Introductions
* [Introductory Blog Post](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/darts-time-series-made-easy-in-python-5ac2947a8878)
* [Introduction video (25 minutes)](https://youtu.be/g6OXDnXEtFA)
##### Articles on Selected Topics
* [Training Models on Multiple Time Series](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/training-forecasting-models-on-multiple-time-series-with-darts-dc4be70b1844)
* [Using Past and Future Covariates](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/time-series-forecasting-using-past-and-future-external-data-with-darts-1f0539585993)
* [Temporal Convolutional Networks and Forecasting](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/temporal-convolutional-networks-and-forecasting-5ce1b6e97ce4)
* [Probabilistic Forecasting](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/probabilistic-forecasting-in-darts-e88fbe83344e)
* [Transfer Learning for Time Series Forecasting](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/transfer-learning-for-time-series-forecasting-87f39e375278)
* [Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/hierarchical-forecast-reconciliation-with-darts-8b4b058bb543)
## Quick Install
We recommend to first setup a clean Python environment for your project with Python 3.7+ using your favorite tool
([conda](https://docs.conda.io/projects/conda/en/latest/user-guide/tasks/manage-environments.html "conda-env"),
[venv](https://docs.python.org/3/library/venv.html), [virtualenv](https://virtualenv.pypa.io/en/latest/) with
or without [virtualenvwrapper](https://virtualenvwrapper.readthedocs.io/en/latest/)).
Once your environment is set up you can install darts using pip:
pip install darts
For more details you can refer to our
[installation instructions](https://github.com/unit8co/darts/blob/master/INSTALL.md).
## Example Usage
### Forecasting
Create a `TimeSeries` object from a Pandas DataFrame, and split it in train/validation series:
```python
import pandas as pd
from darts import TimeSeries
# Read a pandas DataFrame
df = pd.read_csv("AirPassengers.csv", delimiter=",")
# Create a TimeSeries, specifying the time and value columns
series = TimeSeries.from_dataframe(df, "Month", "#Passengers")
# Set aside the last 36 months as a validation series
train, val = series[:-36], series[-36:]
```
Fit an exponential smoothing model, and make a (probabilistic) prediction over the validation series' duration:
```python
from darts.models import ExponentialSmoothing
model = ExponentialSmoothing()
model.fit(train)
prediction = model.predict(len(val), num_samples=1000)
```
Plot the median, 5th and 95th percentiles:
```python
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
series.plot()
prediction.plot(label="forecast", low_quantile=0.05, high_quantile=0.95)
plt.legend()
```
<div style="text-align:center;">
<img src="https://github.com/unit8co/darts/raw/master/static/images/example.png" alt="darts forecast example" />
</div>
### Anomaly Detection
Load a multivariate series, trim it, keep 2 components, split train and validation sets:
```python
from darts.datasets import ETTh2Dataset
series = ETTh2Dataset().load()[:10000][["MUFL", "LULL"]]
train, val = series.split_before(0.6)
```
Build a k-means anomaly scorer, train it on the train set
and use it on the validation set to get anomaly scores:
```python
from darts.ad import KMeansScorer
scorer = KMeansScorer(k=2, window=5)
scorer.fit(train)
anom_score = scorer.score(val)
```
Build a binary anomaly detector and train it over train scores,
then use it over validation scores to get binary anomaly classification:
```python
from darts.ad import QuantileDetector
detector = QuantileDetector(high_quantile=0.99)
detector.fit(scorer.score(train))
binary_anom = detector.detect(anom_score)
```
Plot (shifting and scaling some of the series
to make everything appear on the same figure):
```python
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
series.plot()
(anom_score / 2. - 100).plot(label="computed anomaly score", c="orangered", lw=3)
(binary_anom * 45 - 150).plot(label="detected binary anomaly", lw=4)
```
<div style="text-align:center;">
<img src="https://github.com/unit8co/darts/raw/master/static/images/example_ad.png" alt="darts anomaly detection example" />
</div>
## Features
* **Forecasting Models:** A large collection of forecasting models; from statistical models (such as
ARIMA) to deep learning models (such as N-BEATS). See [table of models below](#forecasting-models).
* **Anomaly Detection** The `darts.ad` module contains a collection of anomaly scorers,
detectors and aggregators, which can all be combined to detect anomalies in time series.
It is easy to wrap any of Darts forecasting or filtering models to build
a fully fledged anomaly detection model that compares predictions with actuals.
The `PyODScorer` makes it trivial to use PyOD detectors on time series.
* **Multivariate Support:** `TimeSeries` can be multivariate - i.e., contain multiple time-varying
dimensions instead of a single scalar value. Many models can consume and produce multivariate series.
* **Multiple series training (global models):** All machine learning based models (incl. all neural networks)
support being trained on multiple (potentially multivariate) series. This can scale to large datasets too.
* **Probabilistic Support:** `TimeSeries` objects can (optionally) represent stochastic
time series; this can for instance be used to get confidence intervals, and many models support different
flavours of probabilistic forecasting (such as estimating parametric distributions or quantiles).
Some anomaly detection scorers are also able to exploit these predictive distributions.
* **Past and Future Covariates support:** Many models in Darts support past-observed and/or future-known
covariate (external data) time series as inputs for producing forecasts.
* **Static Covariates support:** In addition to time-dependent data, `TimeSeries` can also contain
static data for each dimension, which can be exploited by some models.
* **Hierarchical Reconciliation:** Darts offers transformers to perform reconciliation.
These can make the forecasts add up in a way that respects the underlying hierarchy.
* **Regression Models:** It is possible to plug-in any scikit-learn compatible model
to obtain forecasts as functions of lagged values of the target series and covariates.
* **Explainability:** Darts has the ability to *explain* some forecasting models using Shap values.
* **Data processing:** Tools to easily apply (and revert) common transformations on
time series data (scaling, filling missing values, differencing, boxcox, ...)
* **Metrics:** A variety of metrics for evaluating time series' goodness of fit;
from R2-scores to Mean Absolute Scaled Error.
* **Backtesting:** Utilities for simulating historical forecasts, using moving time windows.
* **PyTorch Lightning Support:** All deep learning models are implemented using PyTorch Lightning,
supporting among other things custom callbacks, GPUs/TPUs training and custom trainers.
* **Filtering Models:** Darts offers three filtering models: `KalmanFilter`, `GaussianProcessFilter`,
and `MovingAverage`, which allow to filter time series, and in some cases obtain probabilistic
inferences of the underlying states/values.
* **Datasets** The `darts.datasets` submodule contains some popular time series datasets for rapid
and reproducible experimentation.
## Forecasting Models
Here's a breakdown of the forecasting models currently implemented in Darts. We are constantly working
on bringing more models and features.
%package -n python3-darts
Summary: A python library for easy manipulation and forecasting of time series.
Provides: python-darts
BuildRequires: python3-devel
BuildRequires: python3-setuptools
BuildRequires: python3-pip
%description -n python3-darts
[](https://badge.fury.io/py/darts)
[](https://anaconda.org/conda-forge/u8darts-all)




[](https://pepy.tech/project/u8darts)
[](https://pepy.tech/project/darts)
[](https://codecov.io/gh/unit8co/darts)
[](https://github.com/psf/black) [](https://gitter.im/u8darts/darts?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=badge&utm_campaign=pr-badge&utm_content=badge)
**Darts** is a Python library for user-friendly forecasting and anomaly detection
on time series. It contains a variety of models, from classics such as ARIMA to
deep neural networks. The forecasting models can all be used in the same way,
using `fit()` and `predict()` functions, similar to scikit-learn.
The library also makes it easy to backtest models,
combine the predictions of several models, and take external data into account.
Darts supports both univariate and multivariate time series and models.
The ML-based models can be trained on potentially large datasets containing multiple time
series, and some of the models offer a rich support for probabilistic forecasting.
Darts also offers extensive anomaly detection capabilities.
For instance, it is trivial to apply PyOD models on time series to obtain anomaly scores,
or to wrap any of Darts forecasting or filtering models to obtain fully
fledged anomaly detection models.
## Documentation
* [Quickstart](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/quickstart/00-quickstart.html)
* [User Guide](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/userguide.html)
* [API Reference](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/generated_api/darts.html)
* [Examples](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/examples.html)
##### High Level Introductions
* [Introductory Blog Post](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/darts-time-series-made-easy-in-python-5ac2947a8878)
* [Introduction video (25 minutes)](https://youtu.be/g6OXDnXEtFA)
##### Articles on Selected Topics
* [Training Models on Multiple Time Series](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/training-forecasting-models-on-multiple-time-series-with-darts-dc4be70b1844)
* [Using Past and Future Covariates](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/time-series-forecasting-using-past-and-future-external-data-with-darts-1f0539585993)
* [Temporal Convolutional Networks and Forecasting](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/temporal-convolutional-networks-and-forecasting-5ce1b6e97ce4)
* [Probabilistic Forecasting](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/probabilistic-forecasting-in-darts-e88fbe83344e)
* [Transfer Learning for Time Series Forecasting](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/transfer-learning-for-time-series-forecasting-87f39e375278)
* [Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/hierarchical-forecast-reconciliation-with-darts-8b4b058bb543)
## Quick Install
We recommend to first setup a clean Python environment for your project with Python 3.7+ using your favorite tool
([conda](https://docs.conda.io/projects/conda/en/latest/user-guide/tasks/manage-environments.html "conda-env"),
[venv](https://docs.python.org/3/library/venv.html), [virtualenv](https://virtualenv.pypa.io/en/latest/) with
or without [virtualenvwrapper](https://virtualenvwrapper.readthedocs.io/en/latest/)).
Once your environment is set up you can install darts using pip:
pip install darts
For more details you can refer to our
[installation instructions](https://github.com/unit8co/darts/blob/master/INSTALL.md).
## Example Usage
### Forecasting
Create a `TimeSeries` object from a Pandas DataFrame, and split it in train/validation series:
```python
import pandas as pd
from darts import TimeSeries
# Read a pandas DataFrame
df = pd.read_csv("AirPassengers.csv", delimiter=",")
# Create a TimeSeries, specifying the time and value columns
series = TimeSeries.from_dataframe(df, "Month", "#Passengers")
# Set aside the last 36 months as a validation series
train, val = series[:-36], series[-36:]
```
Fit an exponential smoothing model, and make a (probabilistic) prediction over the validation series' duration:
```python
from darts.models import ExponentialSmoothing
model = ExponentialSmoothing()
model.fit(train)
prediction = model.predict(len(val), num_samples=1000)
```
Plot the median, 5th and 95th percentiles:
```python
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
series.plot()
prediction.plot(label="forecast", low_quantile=0.05, high_quantile=0.95)
plt.legend()
```
<div style="text-align:center;">
<img src="https://github.com/unit8co/darts/raw/master/static/images/example.png" alt="darts forecast example" />
</div>
### Anomaly Detection
Load a multivariate series, trim it, keep 2 components, split train and validation sets:
```python
from darts.datasets import ETTh2Dataset
series = ETTh2Dataset().load()[:10000][["MUFL", "LULL"]]
train, val = series.split_before(0.6)
```
Build a k-means anomaly scorer, train it on the train set
and use it on the validation set to get anomaly scores:
```python
from darts.ad import KMeansScorer
scorer = KMeansScorer(k=2, window=5)
scorer.fit(train)
anom_score = scorer.score(val)
```
Build a binary anomaly detector and train it over train scores,
then use it over validation scores to get binary anomaly classification:
```python
from darts.ad import QuantileDetector
detector = QuantileDetector(high_quantile=0.99)
detector.fit(scorer.score(train))
binary_anom = detector.detect(anom_score)
```
Plot (shifting and scaling some of the series
to make everything appear on the same figure):
```python
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
series.plot()
(anom_score / 2. - 100).plot(label="computed anomaly score", c="orangered", lw=3)
(binary_anom * 45 - 150).plot(label="detected binary anomaly", lw=4)
```
<div style="text-align:center;">
<img src="https://github.com/unit8co/darts/raw/master/static/images/example_ad.png" alt="darts anomaly detection example" />
</div>
## Features
* **Forecasting Models:** A large collection of forecasting models; from statistical models (such as
ARIMA) to deep learning models (such as N-BEATS). See [table of models below](#forecasting-models).
* **Anomaly Detection** The `darts.ad` module contains a collection of anomaly scorers,
detectors and aggregators, which can all be combined to detect anomalies in time series.
It is easy to wrap any of Darts forecasting or filtering models to build
a fully fledged anomaly detection model that compares predictions with actuals.
The `PyODScorer` makes it trivial to use PyOD detectors on time series.
* **Multivariate Support:** `TimeSeries` can be multivariate - i.e., contain multiple time-varying
dimensions instead of a single scalar value. Many models can consume and produce multivariate series.
* **Multiple series training (global models):** All machine learning based models (incl. all neural networks)
support being trained on multiple (potentially multivariate) series. This can scale to large datasets too.
* **Probabilistic Support:** `TimeSeries` objects can (optionally) represent stochastic
time series; this can for instance be used to get confidence intervals, and many models support different
flavours of probabilistic forecasting (such as estimating parametric distributions or quantiles).
Some anomaly detection scorers are also able to exploit these predictive distributions.
* **Past and Future Covariates support:** Many models in Darts support past-observed and/or future-known
covariate (external data) time series as inputs for producing forecasts.
* **Static Covariates support:** In addition to time-dependent data, `TimeSeries` can also contain
static data for each dimension, which can be exploited by some models.
* **Hierarchical Reconciliation:** Darts offers transformers to perform reconciliation.
These can make the forecasts add up in a way that respects the underlying hierarchy.
* **Regression Models:** It is possible to plug-in any scikit-learn compatible model
to obtain forecasts as functions of lagged values of the target series and covariates.
* **Explainability:** Darts has the ability to *explain* some forecasting models using Shap values.
* **Data processing:** Tools to easily apply (and revert) common transformations on
time series data (scaling, filling missing values, differencing, boxcox, ...)
* **Metrics:** A variety of metrics for evaluating time series' goodness of fit;
from R2-scores to Mean Absolute Scaled Error.
* **Backtesting:** Utilities for simulating historical forecasts, using moving time windows.
* **PyTorch Lightning Support:** All deep learning models are implemented using PyTorch Lightning,
supporting among other things custom callbacks, GPUs/TPUs training and custom trainers.
* **Filtering Models:** Darts offers three filtering models: `KalmanFilter`, `GaussianProcessFilter`,
and `MovingAverage`, which allow to filter time series, and in some cases obtain probabilistic
inferences of the underlying states/values.
* **Datasets** The `darts.datasets` submodule contains some popular time series datasets for rapid
and reproducible experimentation.
## Forecasting Models
Here's a breakdown of the forecasting models currently implemented in Darts. We are constantly working
on bringing more models and features.
%package help
Summary: Development documents and examples for darts
Provides: python3-darts-doc
%description help
[](https://badge.fury.io/py/darts)
[](https://anaconda.org/conda-forge/u8darts-all)




[](https://pepy.tech/project/u8darts)
[](https://pepy.tech/project/darts)
[](https://codecov.io/gh/unit8co/darts)
[](https://github.com/psf/black) [](https://gitter.im/u8darts/darts?utm_source=badge&utm_medium=badge&utm_campaign=pr-badge&utm_content=badge)
**Darts** is a Python library for user-friendly forecasting and anomaly detection
on time series. It contains a variety of models, from classics such as ARIMA to
deep neural networks. The forecasting models can all be used in the same way,
using `fit()` and `predict()` functions, similar to scikit-learn.
The library also makes it easy to backtest models,
combine the predictions of several models, and take external data into account.
Darts supports both univariate and multivariate time series and models.
The ML-based models can be trained on potentially large datasets containing multiple time
series, and some of the models offer a rich support for probabilistic forecasting.
Darts also offers extensive anomaly detection capabilities.
For instance, it is trivial to apply PyOD models on time series to obtain anomaly scores,
or to wrap any of Darts forecasting or filtering models to obtain fully
fledged anomaly detection models.
## Documentation
* [Quickstart](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/quickstart/00-quickstart.html)
* [User Guide](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/userguide.html)
* [API Reference](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/generated_api/darts.html)
* [Examples](https://unit8co.github.io/darts/examples.html)
##### High Level Introductions
* [Introductory Blog Post](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/darts-time-series-made-easy-in-python-5ac2947a8878)
* [Introduction video (25 minutes)](https://youtu.be/g6OXDnXEtFA)
##### Articles on Selected Topics
* [Training Models on Multiple Time Series](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/training-forecasting-models-on-multiple-time-series-with-darts-dc4be70b1844)
* [Using Past and Future Covariates](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/time-series-forecasting-using-past-and-future-external-data-with-darts-1f0539585993)
* [Temporal Convolutional Networks and Forecasting](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/temporal-convolutional-networks-and-forecasting-5ce1b6e97ce4)
* [Probabilistic Forecasting](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/probabilistic-forecasting-in-darts-e88fbe83344e)
* [Transfer Learning for Time Series Forecasting](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/transfer-learning-for-time-series-forecasting-87f39e375278)
* [Hierarchical Forecast Reconciliation](https://medium.com/unit8-machine-learning-publication/hierarchical-forecast-reconciliation-with-darts-8b4b058bb543)
## Quick Install
We recommend to first setup a clean Python environment for your project with Python 3.7+ using your favorite tool
([conda](https://docs.conda.io/projects/conda/en/latest/user-guide/tasks/manage-environments.html "conda-env"),
[venv](https://docs.python.org/3/library/venv.html), [virtualenv](https://virtualenv.pypa.io/en/latest/) with
or without [virtualenvwrapper](https://virtualenvwrapper.readthedocs.io/en/latest/)).
Once your environment is set up you can install darts using pip:
pip install darts
For more details you can refer to our
[installation instructions](https://github.com/unit8co/darts/blob/master/INSTALL.md).
## Example Usage
### Forecasting
Create a `TimeSeries` object from a Pandas DataFrame, and split it in train/validation series:
```python
import pandas as pd
from darts import TimeSeries
# Read a pandas DataFrame
df = pd.read_csv("AirPassengers.csv", delimiter=",")
# Create a TimeSeries, specifying the time and value columns
series = TimeSeries.from_dataframe(df, "Month", "#Passengers")
# Set aside the last 36 months as a validation series
train, val = series[:-36], series[-36:]
```
Fit an exponential smoothing model, and make a (probabilistic) prediction over the validation series' duration:
```python
from darts.models import ExponentialSmoothing
model = ExponentialSmoothing()
model.fit(train)
prediction = model.predict(len(val), num_samples=1000)
```
Plot the median, 5th and 95th percentiles:
```python
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
series.plot()
prediction.plot(label="forecast", low_quantile=0.05, high_quantile=0.95)
plt.legend()
```
<div style="text-align:center;">
<img src="https://github.com/unit8co/darts/raw/master/static/images/example.png" alt="darts forecast example" />
</div>
### Anomaly Detection
Load a multivariate series, trim it, keep 2 components, split train and validation sets:
```python
from darts.datasets import ETTh2Dataset
series = ETTh2Dataset().load()[:10000][["MUFL", "LULL"]]
train, val = series.split_before(0.6)
```
Build a k-means anomaly scorer, train it on the train set
and use it on the validation set to get anomaly scores:
```python
from darts.ad import KMeansScorer
scorer = KMeansScorer(k=2, window=5)
scorer.fit(train)
anom_score = scorer.score(val)
```
Build a binary anomaly detector and train it over train scores,
then use it over validation scores to get binary anomaly classification:
```python
from darts.ad import QuantileDetector
detector = QuantileDetector(high_quantile=0.99)
detector.fit(scorer.score(train))
binary_anom = detector.detect(anom_score)
```
Plot (shifting and scaling some of the series
to make everything appear on the same figure):
```python
import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
series.plot()
(anom_score / 2. - 100).plot(label="computed anomaly score", c="orangered", lw=3)
(binary_anom * 45 - 150).plot(label="detected binary anomaly", lw=4)
```
<div style="text-align:center;">
<img src="https://github.com/unit8co/darts/raw/master/static/images/example_ad.png" alt="darts anomaly detection example" />
</div>
## Features
* **Forecasting Models:** A large collection of forecasting models; from statistical models (such as
ARIMA) to deep learning models (such as N-BEATS). See [table of models below](#forecasting-models).
* **Anomaly Detection** The `darts.ad` module contains a collection of anomaly scorers,
detectors and aggregators, which can all be combined to detect anomalies in time series.
It is easy to wrap any of Darts forecasting or filtering models to build
a fully fledged anomaly detection model that compares predictions with actuals.
The `PyODScorer` makes it trivial to use PyOD detectors on time series.
* **Multivariate Support:** `TimeSeries` can be multivariate - i.e., contain multiple time-varying
dimensions instead of a single scalar value. Many models can consume and produce multivariate series.
* **Multiple series training (global models):** All machine learning based models (incl. all neural networks)
support being trained on multiple (potentially multivariate) series. This can scale to large datasets too.
* **Probabilistic Support:** `TimeSeries` objects can (optionally) represent stochastic
time series; this can for instance be used to get confidence intervals, and many models support different
flavours of probabilistic forecasting (such as estimating parametric distributions or quantiles).
Some anomaly detection scorers are also able to exploit these predictive distributions.
* **Past and Future Covariates support:** Many models in Darts support past-observed and/or future-known
covariate (external data) time series as inputs for producing forecasts.
* **Static Covariates support:** In addition to time-dependent data, `TimeSeries` can also contain
static data for each dimension, which can be exploited by some models.
* **Hierarchical Reconciliation:** Darts offers transformers to perform reconciliation.
These can make the forecasts add up in a way that respects the underlying hierarchy.
* **Regression Models:** It is possible to plug-in any scikit-learn compatible model
to obtain forecasts as functions of lagged values of the target series and covariates.
* **Explainability:** Darts has the ability to *explain* some forecasting models using Shap values.
* **Data processing:** Tools to easily apply (and revert) common transformations on
time series data (scaling, filling missing values, differencing, boxcox, ...)
* **Metrics:** A variety of metrics for evaluating time series' goodness of fit;
from R2-scores to Mean Absolute Scaled Error.
* **Backtesting:** Utilities for simulating historical forecasts, using moving time windows.
* **PyTorch Lightning Support:** All deep learning models are implemented using PyTorch Lightning,
supporting among other things custom callbacks, GPUs/TPUs training and custom trainers.
* **Filtering Models:** Darts offers three filtering models: `KalmanFilter`, `GaussianProcessFilter`,
and `MovingAverage`, which allow to filter time series, and in some cases obtain probabilistic
inferences of the underlying states/values.
* **Datasets** The `darts.datasets` submodule contains some popular time series datasets for rapid
and reproducible experimentation.
## Forecasting Models
Here's a breakdown of the forecasting models currently implemented in Darts. We are constantly working
on bringing more models and features.
%prep
%autosetup -n darts-0.23.1
%build
%py3_build
%install
%py3_install
install -d -m755 %{buildroot}/%{_pkgdocdir}
if [ -d doc ]; then cp -arf doc %{buildroot}/%{_pkgdocdir}; fi
if [ -d docs ]; then cp -arf docs %{buildroot}/%{_pkgdocdir}; fi
if [ -d example ]; then cp -arf example %{buildroot}/%{_pkgdocdir}; fi
if [ -d examples ]; then cp -arf examples %{buildroot}/%{_pkgdocdir}; fi
pushd %{buildroot}
if [ -d usr/lib ]; then
find usr/lib -type f -printf "/%h/%f\n" >> filelist.lst
fi
if [ -d usr/lib64 ]; then
find usr/lib64 -type f -printf "/%h/%f\n" >> filelist.lst
fi
if [ -d usr/bin ]; then
find usr/bin -type f -printf "/%h/%f\n" >> filelist.lst
fi
if [ -d usr/sbin ]; then
find usr/sbin -type f -printf "/%h/%f\n" >> filelist.lst
fi
touch doclist.lst
if [ -d usr/share/man ]; then
find usr/share/man -type f -printf "/%h/%f.gz\n" >> doclist.lst
fi
popd
mv %{buildroot}/filelist.lst .
mv %{buildroot}/doclist.lst .
%files -n python3-darts -f filelist.lst
%dir %{python3_sitelib}/*
%files help -f doclist.lst
%{_docdir}/*
%changelog
* Tue Apr 11 2023 Python_Bot <Python_Bot@openeuler.org> - 0.23.1-1
- Package Spec generated
|